Sunday, December 12, 2010

Xmas inspired cut and paste creativity

Lovely home made re-mix/cut of the 1965 Rudolf the red nosed reindeer stop motion animation along with The Police Roxanne. All done by a guy at home with a simple piece of software (pro-tools). So far a quarter of a million views, likely a lot more by xmas.

I wonder how long it would have taken your average BDA to come up with something like this and how much it'd cost...

Except they wouldn't have made this because the ECD would have said it's been done before, the art director would have demanded we re-shoot the reindeer scenes, the client would have made us take out the abominable snowman (for the sake of the children and to be able to run it before the 9pm watershed) and the media guys would have said we can only afford a :20

Merry xmas everyone...


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5N4EFVgtB0Y

Thursday, December 9, 2010

What a leak of one of China's diplomatic cables might read like



I DON'T THINK BLOGGING IS SIMPLY ABOUT RE-POSTING OTHER PEOPLE'S STUFF, BUT THIS IS TOO GOOD NOT TO RE-POST.
A MUST READ FROM THE OFTEN SMUG BUT IN THIS CASE SPOT ON TOM FRIEDMAN . . . . .









OP-ED COLUMNIST 
From WikiChina


Published: November 30, 2010

While secrets from WikiLeaks were splashed all over the American newspapers, I couldn’t help but wonder: What if China had a WikiLeaker and we could see what its embassy in Washington was reporting about America? 
I suspect the cable would read like this:

Washington Embassy, People’s Republic of China, to Ministry of Foreign Affairs Beijing

TOP SECRET/Subject: America today.
Things are going well here for China. America remains a deeply politically polarized country, which is certainly helpful for our goal of overtaking the U.S. as the world’s most powerful economy and nation. But we’re particularly optimistic because the Americans are polarized over all the wrong things.
There is a willful self-destructiveness in the air here as if America has all the time and money in the world for petty politics. They fight over things like — we are not making this up — how and where an airport security officer can touch them. They are fighting — we are happy to report — over the latest nuclear arms reduction treaty with Russia. 

It seems as if the Republicans are so interested in weakening President Obama that they are going to scuttle a treaty that would have fostered closer U.S.-Russian cooperation on issues like Iran. And since anything that brings Russia and America closer could end up isolating us, we are grateful to Senator Jon Kyl of Arizona for putting our interests ahead of America’s and blocking Senate ratification of the treaty. The ambassador has invited Senator Kyl and his wife for dinner at Mr. Kao’s Chinese restaurant to praise him for his steadfastness in protecting America’s (read: our) interests.

Americans just had what they call an “election.” Best we could tell it involved one congressman trying to raise more money than the other (all from businesses they are supposed to be regulating) so he could tell bigger lies on TV more often about the other guy before the other guy could do it to him. This leaves us relieved. It means America will do nothing serious to fix its structural problems: a ballooning deficit, declining educational performance, crumbling infrastructure and diminished immigration of new talent.
The ambassador recently took what the Americans call a fast train — the Acela — from Washington to New York City. Our bullet train from Beijing to Tianjin would have made the trip in 90 minutes. His took three hours — and it was on time! Along the way the ambassador used his cellphone to call his embassy office, and in one hour he experienced 12 dropped calls — again, we are not making this up. We have a joke in the embassy: “When someone calls you from China today it sounds like they are next door. And when someone calls you from next door in America, it sounds like they are calling from China!” Those of us who worked in China’s embassy in Zambia often note that Africa’s cellphone service was better than America’s.
But the Americans are oblivious. They travel abroad so rarely that they don’t see how far they are falling behind. Which is why we at the embassy find it funny that Americans are now fighting over how “exceptional” they are. Once again, we are not making this up. On the front page of The Washington Post on Monday there was an article noting that Republicans Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee are denouncing Obama for denying “American exceptionalism.” The Americans have replaced working to be exceptional with talking about how exceptional they still are. They don’t seem to understand that you can’t declare yourself “exceptional,” only others can bestow that adjective upon you.
In foreign policy, we see no chance of Obama extricating U.S. forces from Afghanistan. He knows the Republicans will call him a wimp if he does, so America will keep hemorrhaging $190 million a day there. Therefore, America will lack the military means to challenge us anywhere else, particularly on North Korea, where our lunatic friends continue to yank America’s chain every six months so that the Americans have to come and beg us to calm things down. By the time the Americans do get out of Afghanistan, the Afghans will surely hate them so much that China’s mining companies already operating there should be able to buy up the rest of Afghanistan’s rare minerals.
Most of the Republicans just elected to Congress do not believe what their scientists tell them about man-made climate change. America’s politicians are mostly lawyers — not engineers or scientists like ours — so they’ll just say crazy things about science and nobody calls them on it. It’s good. It means they will not support any bill to spur clean energy innovation, which is central to our next five-year plan. And this ensures that our efforts to dominate the wind, solar, nuclear and electric car industries will not be challenged by America.
Finally, record numbers of U.S. high school students are now studying Chinese, which should guarantee us a steady supply of cheap labor that speaks our language here, as we use our $2.3 trillion in reserves to quietly buy up U.S. factories. In sum, things are going well for China in America.
Thank goodness the Americans can’t read our diplomatic cables.
China Embassy Washington
.

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Speechless

Gabriel Garcia Marquez on Wikileaks...

Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future....

A lovely quote that I use in as many presentations as I can is from Arthur C. Clarke 


"If we have leaned one thing from the history of invention and discovery, it is that, in the long run - and often the short one - the most daring prophecies seem laughably conservative".

He wrote this in 1951 but it's never been more true.

Check out this Newsweek article from 1995 (Clifford Stoll) about how over blown the Internet was...

http://www.newsweek.com/1995/02/26/the-internet-bah.html


And I quote....

"They speak of electronic town meetings and virtual communities. Commerce and business will shift from offices and malls to networks and modems. And the freedom of digital networks will make government more democratic.


Baloney. Do our computer pundits lack all common sense? The truth in no online database will replace your daily newspaper, no CD-ROM can take the place of a competent teacher and no computer network will change the way government works."


Hee hee.

Sunday, December 5, 2010

In an increasingly networked (globalized) world, this is an alarming chart

We (the greater we) need the US economy to begin to bounce back properly - and, as such, this chart is scary.

Asia/fast growing economies are doing better than most, but if these huge developed markets fail to spark, it'll hold everyone back, encourage more trade barriers and hold back the very globalization that has fueled Asia's growth (and others) over the past decade.

But, in my opinion, America needs to start to believe in itself and stop whining about the state of the world and its part in it. This changing of the economic guard (to a significant degree) should not be a surprise and if the developed world could find it in themselves to embrace and work with it rather than become more protectionist I think everyone would work out better in the medium to long term. Maybe if the dems and republicans stopped ripping themselves apart 24/7 on TV the general public might have a bit more confidence.....

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

WTF has happened to Obama the great communicator - and how the Democrats need a major overhaul of their messaging strategy

What has happened to Obama the great communicator and how the Democrats need an overhaul of their messaging strategy (in my opinion).

I'm shocked and saddened to say that I'm starting to give up with Obama - at least on his skills as a communicator and his ability to control the democratic message.

The dems seems to have a total inability to band effectively together, pick a few (only a few) winning talking points, stick to them and ruthlessly out the republicans on their nonsense.

The republicans are far superior at this and (with some exceptions from the teabaggers)  all sing off the same simple clear song sheet - smaller government, lower taxes, cut spending and strong on national security. They are also incredibly good at framing issues with language (read "don't think about an elephant" for the full story - great book by george lakoff) - pro-life/pro-choice, bush tax cuts, Obamacare, war on terror etc. 

The dems are all over the place on messaging and they are terribly divided - they need the old advertising lesson of throwing six tennis balls at someone vs. One...

As an interested viewer of the appallingly partisan state of affairs right now it seems obvious that the dems have a bunch of really clear strong points that are not getting through to the gen pub - unless they scour the political media and analyze it in great detail.

1.  Republicans don't care about poor people - while lobbying hard for continuing George bush's pro-millionaire tax cuts this week they voted down a bill for continuing unemployment benefits for struggling Americans. WTF? 

2.  Obama saved the American car industry and with it 1.3m jobs - GMs float on the stock exchange this week was the biggest in history (bigger than google). Right now all the big us car companies are back in profit for the first time since 2005. He took a tough decision that the party of NO mocked and it worked and yet they are still criticizing him for it. Why? And when are we going to out them on it?


3.  The republicans are using national security as a political tool and it's putting the American people in real danger. The party who started an illegal war, water tortured, wiretapped and extraordinarily renditioned while in power is screaming constitutional over reach (reach around?) over the TSA's new scanner/pat down procedures. Ridiculous hypocrisy. 100,000 troops are putting their life on the line every day, its time for the 99% of the population for whom they are sacrificing to do their part - in this case a slightly uncomfortable frisking only for those who refuse the scan. Surely a small price to pay and a welcome spirit of "everybody has a part to play" that has been forgotten. 

The republicans are also blocking the signing of the Start treaty against the advice of the chairman of the joint chiefs and other military leadership? Why? It's just politics and a chance to skewer Obama at the expense of American security.

4.  The republican party's intransigence and partisanship is holding back the confidence of the American people to pull out of this recession in the way the business community has - and the public needs to know this. 

The business community in the US has pulled steeply out of the recession in a way that ordinary people have not - 5 straight quarters of economic growth, corporate profits were the highest on record last quarter since the govt began recording in 1950 and corporate profits as a % of US economic growth over the last 3 decades are at nearly the highest point they've ever been today - up from the lowest point when when Obama took over. 

The constant sniping, criticism, blame gaming and painting of gloomy pictures can only leave the American public unsure, worried, cautious and unlikely to start spending, investing or employing. All of this politics is not harming business, it's not harming the republicans but it sure is harming the country's morale. 

At a time when the country needs to pull together and gee itself up, shame on the politicians who do the opposite for their own political gain.

5.  The deficit and W's tax cuts - the dems need to do much better job on this one. The right have succeeded in every occasion (normally unchallenged) in painting Obamas plans to let the tax cuts run out as "an Obama tax increase". This is rewriting history. I don't exactly remember the details, but I believe the only way W could get these tax cuts (in good economic times) through the congress was to agree to a term limit for them. So, this isn't Obama increasing taxes, this is the End of a policy written by bush and agreed by bush and supported by the republicans. The fact that Obama is willing to extend them for the middle class is a good thing. If it were me, 

I wouldn't extend them at all because then they are simply an extension of bush's policies. How about a brand new Obama tax cut beginning Jan 1? Reframe it like that and republicans would be fighting to increase the Obama tax cuts rather than extend the bush tax cuts. . . .


Grow some balls democrats, stop in fighting, learn to take and control the message and for christ sake read George lakoff's book about framing issues and stop letting the republicans run the communications board.

Happy thanksgiving and let's hope the witch of wassilla runs in 2012 - for all our sakes...

Thursday, November 18, 2010

It's not a fad

Ahead of the curve, disrupting, resisting the usual. All of these are what we talk about in our industry as rules to live by. And yet we rarely do. Nice to see a big serious (and likely stodgy) company such as the FT embrace new things. The FT is subsidizing iPad purchases for all it's staff and giving masterclass lessons to get people up to speed on this important new platform - which is, after all, what it is.

Who will be the first agency to do this? I bought an iPad very early on for my former agency and struggled to get it through the 'resist the usual' finance Dept. I guess it's resist the usual, to a point...

Click below for the story

http://www.tuaw.com/2010/11/18/financial-times-gives-ipad-bonuses-to-staff/

There speaks a client who knows his business

"We have 100% awareness, we have been in all the big wars, what we have is a perception problem"
Bruce Jasurda, CMO of the US Army.

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Churchill on Lawrence of Arabia....

I know a few people for whom I could say the same...

Bloomberg for president....


Mayor Bloomberg has a wonderful ability for telling things as they are, not as the press/politicians would have them be - I guess that's what comes of being worth $20bn. This is an interesting article concerning his comments about China in a recent trip to Hong Kong. His basic line is that America needs to stop blaming China for its troubles. He also has some harsh, but fair, words for some of Congress's recent recruits...

Bloomberg to America - lay off China
New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, on a visit to Hong Kong and the neighboring city of Shenzhen, had some harsh criticism for his own fellow Americans: Stop blaming the Chinese for their problems.

As the debate rages over China’s trade and currencies policies, the 68-year-old Bloomberg, now in his third term as mayor of New York, was tough on China’s critics in the U.S. He spoke to reporters Saturday in Hong Kong after addressing a meeting of leaders from top cities around the world, dubbed the C40, focused on climate change and environment.
“I think in America, we’ve got to stop blaming the Chinese and blaming everybody else and take a look at ourselves,” he said.

A day earlier, Mr. Bloomberg visited several businesses (incluing a solar panel maker) in Shenzhen, a manufacturing hub that borders Hong Kong.

China’s big push into solar and other environmentally friendly energy technologies has begun to attract negative attention. Last month, the U.S. Trade Representative’s office said it would investigate China’s policies over complaints that the country was using tactics that violated its World Trade Organization commitments to shut other countries out of the burgeoning market for clean energy.

Mr. Bloomberg attacked the notion that using Chinese-made technology to promote green energy in the U.S. was politically objectionable. “Let me get this straight: There’s a country on the other side of the world that is taking their taxpayers’ dollars, and trying to sell subsidized things so we can buy them cheaper, and have better products, and we’re going to criticize that?”

Earlier, in an interview, the mayor was deeply, undiplomatically critical of provincialism and populism in U.S. Congress.

“If you look at the U.S., you look at who we’re electing to Congress, to the Senate—they can’t read,” he said. “I’ll bet you a bunch of these people don’t have passports. We’re about to start a trade war with China if we’re not careful here,” he warned, “only because nobody knows where China is. Nobody knows what China is.”

The mayor said his biggest impression from meeting his mayoral counterparts from China (the C40 includes about a half dozen heads of major cities in China) was their focus on environmental issues.

In the past, he said, “they have focused on jobs, jobs, jobs, economic development at all costs. Now all of a sudden they are realizing their rivers are becoming undrinkable, their air is killing people.”

China’s growing concern for the environment was good for Hong Kong, he noted, given how much of the city’s pollution problem wafts in across its border with the rest of the country. He recalled many years ago renting a helicopter (he’s a certified pilot) and flying it into the city’s mountainous New Territories district, only to get lost in the pollution.
“At one point I had to go down almost to tree level to figure out where I was, just to get out.”
Bloomberg, whose past business experience frequently took him to Asia, spoke highly of prospects for Hong Kong, where the stock exchange has dominated the global market for initial public offerings for a second year.

“The future of Hong Kong as a financial center is not going to be challenged by anybody else in Asia,” he said. Going in its favor were widespread use of English; a family-friendly, low-crime environment that attracts workers; and ease of commuting.

“The only other city that has the potential of doing that, of course, is Singapore,” he added, but not Tokyo. “I love Tokyo, but unless you speak Japanese, you can’t survive.”


An incredibly odd decision to make in 2010

First of all, I've nothing against FCB, I don't really know many FCBers (Rob Sherlock is a great guy), I don't know Mark Pacchini and I don't know Anil Kapoor - I'm sure they're all fine folks.  However, this announcement concerning the appointment of a new head of FCB Asia is astonishing to me.

First, how, in this day and age, can you run an Asian operation of a big network out of Chicago? And second, how do you get away with a supporting comment like "Mark has an extensive knowledge of the APAC region having travelled there frequently over the last 17yrs"? I'd rather just say nothing and let people presume you'd lived there at some point or another. To me this is a press release/announcement that didn't need to be made - at least not in the press!!!

Anyhow, best of luck. It's hard enough getting clients in China to take you seriously if you are based in Central HK, let alone Grosse Point.

Monday, November 1, 2010

FIFA - Football's very own 'Big-Government' problem




A nice piece on the FIFA's monopoly on the World Cup and assorted scandals that it’s currently facing.

FIFA is a Geneva based non-profit organization that had 2009 revenues of $1.06 billion and profits of $196 million.

"While equity of over a billion dollars seems high, it is necessary as the financial risks exceed it many times over," Franco Carraro, chairman of the internal audit committee, told delegates. "The figure is only enough to cover the next year and a half."

I bet there's a lot of not for profit organizations that might consider $1bn surplus to be more than enough for more than 18 months - especially if they owned such a lucrative franchise....


Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Only consolidation can save us....part 2

Came across this in my files. A letter from David Ogilvy to a client 35yrs ago addressing the pro's and cons of global alignment.

Enjoy.







Only consolidation can save us....part 1



When Sir M was in town for the Spikes he was on stage asking for questions to be emailed to him. He didn't get round to answering mine.

The gist of my question was why hasn't our industry consolidated more? 

Look at many of our clients. Much of the time, consolidation has reduced their categories to 3/4 big players and a handful of niche ones supplying specialist consumers. 

In the computer category - Dell, Lenovo, HP, Acer and Apple.
In the mobile phone category - Nokia, Samsung, Sony Ericsson, Apple, LG and Motorola
In the Accountancy category - The Big 4
In the toothpaste category - Colgate, Crest, Aquafresh,  Oral-B, Tom's of Maine, Darlie

I'm sure there's many exceptions to this rule, but in my mind they tend to be in categories where consumers actively demand greater choice - candy, drinks, food, cars etc.

So, back to my question. Why hasn't our industry consolidated more?

Our industry did undergo massive consolidation a decade or so back, but only at a holding company level - from dozens of brands to 4 or 5 (WPP, Omnicom, Interpublic, Publicis, Havas). 

But this wasn't really consolidation, it was merely conglomeration. Of course, some brands died as a result (DMB&M, BSB, Ayer etc.) but the vast majority of them remain today.

So, my hypothesis is that the industry can't sustain this many agency brands and if we are to get back to a more acceptable level of remuneration we need fewer brands with more business and a greater concentration of talent. 

Right now, clients have a dizzying choice of agencies who are willing to cut costs and anything else that gets them the project (and IT IS increasingly just a project). I don't blame clients, it's only natural, and besides, they have their own issues to deal with.

Do the holding companies really need so many mainline adverting brands, and can those brands realistically sustain themselves over the long term? Does it make sense for a WPP or an Interpublic to have 10+ offices in each city they operate in? I don't think so.

The response I usually get when I ask this is "We have no choice, we can't consolidate because of client conflict...". 

They are right. 

This, in my opinion, is at the heart of what needs to change.

If the issue of 'client conflict' were removed, the door would be open to real consolidation in the industry.  This could lead to the kinds economies of scale that would allow the remaining agencies to HIRE MORE, attract young talent (vs. other categories to whom we lose graduate talent - like banks & law firms), hire the best and pay them accordingly, TRAIN the rest, satisfy shareholders and the City and put some of the pride back into our great industry (I recall a story that advertising execs ranked somewhere between traffic wardens and second hand car salesmen in a recent study - although Mad Men has likely pushed us up or down on that scale depending on your perspective). 

But, to do this would mean convincing clients that 'client confidentiality' is really possible. And why not?  Let's face it, Bain, McKinsey, Accenture, the Banks and many other service industries manage - and some clients even see it as an advantage (McKinsey clients for example). The notion that, because you have a bunch of people working on a Coca-Cola brand in your office, a group of totally autonomous people can't be thinking about a mineral water, seems outdated and outmoded. 

One other point in support of my premise is that it's hardly like 'confidentiality' is the titanium clad thing that it used to be; with clients moving from competitor to competitor with increasing speed (what's a marketing director's average length of tenure these days? 18 months, less?) and agency revolving doors are revolving as fast as ever they have there's a veritable merry-go-round of illegitimate information and knowledge that circulating around.

I've witnessed agencies chasing their tails to try to hit increasingly difficult to achieve numbers; more often that not, chopping their tails off in the process. Clients playing one agency off against the other to drive down costs. The increasing role of procurement. Contracts coming down to auctions between agency CFO's - one a few years back being realtime online! This doesn't strike me as a situation that, in the long run, really benefits clients; let alone agencies.  It stretches agency teams, often resulting in sub-standard work, hampers agency's ability to attract the best new talent and can often disuades an agency from telling clients what they really need to hear. All dangerous stuff.

Phew, that's a load off my mind. I can get back to thinking about something else now.




Monday, October 25, 2010

Political correctness gone mad, racial profiling or just stupid?

I'm a big fan of Juan Williams  - although I wish he'd lay off appearing on the Fox Network.

That said, his comment about being scared when he sees muslims in their 'garb' when he's boarding a plane did not show his best side.

What's alarming is less what he said and more what the right said in response; that this is an example of political correctness gone mad and an affront to freedom of speech. A very Fox News spin.

Surely if there's an affront here it's to the 'garbed up' people on the plane who's freedom of speech (in this case 'speech' through what they're wearing) as well as freedom of religion was being eroded.

Juan Williams has a right to feel scared on any plane he chooses for whatever reason he feels, that's his unassailable right. Arguably, he also has the right to tell people that he felt/feels that way. As a political analyst it was a slightly silly thing to do on Fox News but, in my opinion, not really a firing offense.

I don't think it's about political correctness or freedom of speech, I think it's something closer to the kind of christian family values that the likes of Fox talk about endlessly; respect, tolerance, understanding and a live and let live attitude.

My prescription for greater tolerance and understanding is to get to at least page five of this website...

http://muslimswearingthings.tumblr.com/

Thanks Sima and Sophina for posting this link....

Sunday, October 24, 2010

US confirms biggest arms deal ever - $60 billion to Saudi Arabia...

So, building an Islamic cultural centre in downtown manhattan (to replace the one there for 30yrs) funded by a shady Saudi businessman (Prince Al-Waleed bin Talal - except he's not a shady businessman unless you call being the second largest shareholder in Murdoch's NewsCorp being shady...) is an outrage? 

But selling $60 billion worth of weapons technology to the Saudi govt. isn't something of an outrage?


http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2010/10/20101020173353178622.html




I understand that there's a desire to prop up (or at least aid) the Saudi regime against fundamentalists, but haven't we learnt that f-15s and attack helicopters aren't the answer when it comes to asymmetric warfare ? 


If this is a warning shot to Iran, maybe it'll work. One thing it certainly is is another great recruitment tool for Islamic fundamentalists as it paints the Saudi Royal Family as a pseudo-puppet of the US government - funny, I thought we were their puppets!

I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but you don't have to watch too many episodes of The West Wing to realize the best time to drop a news story like this is in the middle of something bigger and louder....Wikileaks anyone?